Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
MTA
1 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCP
0 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
MTA
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
11%
21%
69%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VST
0 - 0
ARO
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
VST
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VST
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COR
0 - 2
VST
4%
11%
84%
|
78 | 22 | 56 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |