Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 4
FCP
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 4
FCP
9%
18%
72%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 0
TON
83%
12%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACV
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
VAR
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
68%
20%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
VAR
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPC
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |