Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 0
FEI
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 6
FCP
6%
18%
76%
|
88 | 39 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
VSC
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 1
VAR
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |