Porto vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 3
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 2
SCP
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
79%
13%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OLH
0 - 0
PAÇ
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 6
RIO
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |