Porto vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 3
ZEN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |