Porto vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 5
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
VST
0 - 3
FCP
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
24%
26%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FCP
6 - 0
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 3
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAÇ
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
UDL
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |