Porto vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
POR
1 - 8
FCP
21%
27%
53%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
UNM
1 - 3
FCP
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1990 |
FCP
5 - 0
POR
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
TIR
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPB
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |