Porto vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 1
FCP
43%
23%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
FCP
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 0
DZG
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 3
FCP
25%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIO
39%
28%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
FEI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |