Porto vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
1.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 1
FCP
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
SAL
1 - 2
FAF
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
FAF
4 - 3
VIZ
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
VIZ
2 - 2
FAF
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FAF
2 - 1
UNM
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |