Porto vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
19%
27%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BMA
0 - 1
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
EST
4 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
EST
4 - 2
FEI
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |