Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPC
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 1
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 0
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
30%
24%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
SLB
5 - 1
AUS
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ACA
3 - 1
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1961 |
AUS
1 - 1
SLB
43%
22%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |