Porto vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 2
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SAL
1 - 1
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
HER
1 - 8
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
7 - 1
VVV
95%
3%
1%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |