Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SPC
1 - 4
FCP
16%
22%
61%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCP
4 - 0
OLH
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SAL
0 - 1
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
FCP
3 - 1
LEX
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ACA
2 - 0
LGC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
SLB
4 - 2
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
OLH
2 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |