FC Pipinsried vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
20º
20º
25
12º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
54 | 54 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
53 | 53 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
51 | 51 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
50 | 50 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
50 | 50 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
25 | 25 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Pipinsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AUG
4 - 0
FCP
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 3
ILL
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
FCP
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCH
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UNT
2 - 0
FCP
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEI
5 - 3
NUR
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
HAH
1 - 0
HEI
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 3
WUR
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUB
4 - 1
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 0
GRE
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |