Regionalliga Nord. Jor. 4

1. FC Phönix Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel II analysis

1. FC Phönix Lübeck Holstein Kiel II
37 ELO 36
3.3% Tilt 4.3%
2637º General ELO ranking 3393º
73º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
55.7%
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
19.7%
Draw
24.7%
Holstein Kiel II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.7%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel II
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
+3%
-25%
Holstein Kiel II

ELO progression

1. FC Phönix Lübeck
Holstein Kiel II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Phönix Lübeck
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2021
HEI
Heider SV
2 - 3
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
FCP
24%
21%
55%
38 29 9 0
18 Aug. 2021
FCP
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
0 - 0
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
42%
23%
34%
37 39 2 +1
13 Aug. 2021
EIN
Eintracht Norderstedt
4 - 0
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
FCP
60%
20%
20%
39 43 4 -2
14 Jul. 2021
PAN
Pansdorf
0 - 5
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
FCP
17%
18%
65%
39 22 17 0
24 Oct. 2020
FCP
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
47%
23%
30%
38 39 1 +1

Matches

Holstein Kiel II
Holstein Kiel II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
2 - 3
Weiche Flensburg
WEI
19%
23%
59%
35 51 16 0
18 Aug. 2021
HEI
Heider SV
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
21%
21%
58%
37 27 10 -2
15 Aug. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
1 - 0
Altona 93
ALT
70%
17%
14%
36 29 7 +1
14 Jul. 2021
KIL
Kilia Kiel
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
8%
13%
80%
37 8 29 -1
04 Jul. 2021
DAS
Dassendorf
2 - 6
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
61%
21%
18%
37 47 10 0
X