1. Liga Promotion Round 17

FC Paradiso vs Lugano II analysis

FC Paradiso Lugano II
52 ELO 50
-13.8% Tilt -19%
3832º General ELO ranking 4061º
37º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
39.5%
FC Paradiso
26.6%
Draw
33.9%
Lugano II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
FC Paradiso
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
Lugano II
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Paradiso
+24%
+30%
Lugano II

ELO progression

FC Paradiso
Lugano II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 1
FC Zurich II
FCZ
28%
26%
46%
50 54 4 0
16 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
0 - 1
Biel-Bienne
BIE
14%
22%
64%
51 64 13 -1
09 Nov. 2024
SCB
SC Bruhl
2 - 0
FC Paradiso
FCP
58%
22%
19%
51 53 2 0
02 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 4
Breitenrain
BRE
28%
26%
46%
52 55 3 -1
26 Oct. 2024
BAD
Baden
1 - 0
FC Paradiso
FCP
49%
25%
26%
53 51 2 -1

Matches

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
YOU
Young Boys II
3 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
53%
23%
24%
51 53 2 0
09 Nov. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
0 - 0
Bulle
BUL
33%
26%
42%
51 55 4 0
02 Nov. 2024
VEV
Vevey Sports
2 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
52%
24%
24%
51 54 3 0
26 Oct. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 0
Delemont
DEL
33%
25%
42%
50 53 3 +1
19 Oct. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 2
FC Basel II
BAS
26%
24%
50%
50 56 6 0