1. Liga Promotion Round 17

FC Paradiso vs Lugano II analysis

FC Paradiso Lugano II
52 ELO 50
-13.8% Tilt -19.1%
3782º General ELO ranking 4254º
38º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
41.9%
FC Paradiso
26.5%
Draw
31.7%
Lugano II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
FC Paradiso
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.6%
Win probability
Lugano II
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Paradiso
+9%
+35%
Lugano II

ELO progression

FC Paradiso
Lugano II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 1
FC Zurich II
FCZ
26%
25%
49%
51 56 5 0
16 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
0 - 1
Biel-Bienne
BIE
13%
21%
66%
51 66 15 0
09 Nov. 2024
SCB
SC Bruhl
2 - 0
FC Paradiso
FCP
58%
23%
20%
52 53 1 -1
02 Nov. 2024
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 4
Breitenrain
BRE
31%
26%
44%
53 55 2 -1
26 Oct. 2024
BAD
Baden
1 - 0
FC Paradiso
FCP
50%
25%
25%
53 52 1 0

Matches

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
YOU
Young Boys II
3 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
51%
23%
27%
52 51 1 0
09 Nov. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
0 - 0
Bulle
BUL
32%
26%
42%
51 56 5 +1
02 Nov. 2024
VEV
Vevey Sports
2 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
53%
24%
23%
51 55 4 0
26 Oct. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 0
Delemont
DEL
35%
25%
40%
50 52 2 +1
19 Oct. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 2
FC Basel II
BAS
25%
23%
52%
50 57 7 0