FC Paradiso vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCP
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCS
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FCP
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |