Otepää vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GAN
4 - 1
OTE
58%
18%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OTE
2 - 4
TAB
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 7
OTE
35%
20%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
IMA
2 - 2
OTE
20%
18%
63%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
ZEN
5 - 2
OTE
18%
18%
64%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAR
55%
19%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IMA
4 - 0
PAR
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
SJK
8 - 1
PAR
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
RAP
3 - 0
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -2 |