Otepää vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
81.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
OTE
0 - 0
VJK
49%
21%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZEN
2 - 0
OTE
48%
20%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
TAZ
0 - 4
OTE
56%
19%
24%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
VIG
0 - 1
OTE
12%
15%
74%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
OTE
4 - 0
FLO
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
KEI
2 - 3
PAI
22%
21%
57%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 0
KUR
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
PAI
3 - 0
TUL
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
GAN
3 - 4
PAI
9%
12%
79%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 1
PIR
93%
5%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |