Eerste Divisie Round 19

TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax analysis

TOP Oss Jong Ajax
60 ELO 67
5.2% Tilt -2.5%
2638º General ELO ranking 1911º
57º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
23.3%
TOP Oss
22.2%
Draw
54.5%
Jong Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
TOP Oss
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.5%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

TOP Oss
Their league position
Jong Ajax
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
19º
17º
36
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Volendam
82
82
100%
Excelsior
74
74
100%
Cambuur
71
71
100%
ADO Den Haag
70
70
100%
Dordrecht
68
68
100%
De Graafschap
65
65
100%
SC Telstar
61
61
100%
Emmen
56
56
100%
Den Bosch
55
55
100%
Jong AZ
10º
52
52
10º
100%
FC Eindhoven
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Roda JC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Helmond Sport
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Vitesse
20º
5
44
14º
100%
VVV Venlo
14º
41
41
15º
100%
MVV Maastricht
15º
40
40
16º
100%
TOP Oss
16º
38
38
17º
100%
Jong Ajax
17º
36
36
18º
100%
Jong PSV
18º
30
30
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
19º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TOP Oss
TOP Oss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2024
VVV
VVV Venlo
0 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
53%
25%
23%
59 64 5 0
30 Nov. 2024
FCO
TOP Oss
1 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
59%
22%
20%
59 53 6 0
25 Nov. 2024
FCD
Dordrecht
2 - 2
TOP Oss
FCO
71%
19%
11%
59 74 15 0
22 Nov. 2024
GRA
De Graafschap
4 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
78%
15%
7%
60 78 18 -1
08 Nov. 2024
FCO
TOP Oss
1 - 0
Den Bosch
BOS
31%
26%
44%
59 67 8 +1

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
2 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
21%
23%
56%
66 78 12 0
29 Nov. 2024
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
63%
20%
17%
67 77 10 -1
25 Nov. 2024
VOL
FC Volendam
3 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
56%
21%
23%
67 74 7 0
22 Nov. 2024
JON
Jong Ajax
3 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
43%
26%
31%
66 69 3 +1
08 Nov. 2024
FCE
Emmen
4 - 2
Jong Ajax
JON
50%
24%
26%
67 75 8 -1