Oerlikon / Polizei vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIE
3 - 2
FCO
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
0 - 0
LAU
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
KOS
4 - 1
FCO
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FCO
3 - 1
KRU
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DUL
0 - 2
FCO
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MUT
4 - 1
BIN
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MUT
1 - 1
LIE
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 1
MUT
22%
22%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MUT
3 - 0
KOS
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
KRU
0 - 2
MUT
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |