Ukraine Third Division Group A Round 1

Nyva Vinnytsya vs Nyva Ternopil II analysis

Nyva Vinnytsya Nyva Ternopil II
46 ELO 19
-7.6% Tilt -6.9%
5692º General ELO ranking 13246º
51º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
85%
Nyva Vinnytsya
10.3%
Draw
4.8%
Nyva Ternopil II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
Nyva Vinnytsya
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Win probability
Nyva Ternopil II
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nyva Vinnytsya
-63%
+793%
Nyva Ternopil II

Points and table prediction

Nyva Vinnytsya
Their league position
Nyva Ternopil II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Uzhhorod
5
41
37.5%
Skala Stryi
6
40
31%
Nyva Vinnytsya
1
34
22%
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
4
34
21.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr II
8
32
20.5%
Nyva Ternopil II
9
30
22%
Real Pharma
11º
1
25
25%
FK Lisne
8
23
33%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi II
6
18
27%
FC Vilkhivtsi
10º
1
15
10º
28.5%
Atlet Kyiv
6
15
11º
32%
Expected probabilities
Nyva Vinnytsya
Nyva Ternopil II
Promotion
7.5% 4%
Promotion play-offs
8.5% 5.5%
Mid-table
84% 90.5%

ELO progression

Nyva Vinnytsya
Nyva Ternopil II
Uzhhorod
Polissya Zhytomyr II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nyva Vinnytsya
Nyva Vinnytsya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2025
LIV
Livyi Bereh
1 - 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
79%
14%
7%
46 73 27 0
17 May. 2025
MKI
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II
1 - 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
10%
15%
75%
48 16 32 -2
11 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 - 1
Lokomotiv Kyiv
FCL
53%
23%
23%
48 43 5 0
03 May. 2025
HSP
Hirnyk-Sport
1 - 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
46%
25%
29%
49 51 2 -1
26 Apr. 2025
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 - 1
Chayka
CHA
25%
26%
49%
48 57 9 +1

Matches

Nyva Ternopil II
Nyva Ternopil II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
2 - 1
Polissya Zhytomyr II
POZ
31%
22%
47%
17 20 3 0
10 May. 2025
RUT
Rukh Lviv II
3 - 0
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
84%
11%
5%
17 41 24 0
04 May. 2025
NYV
Nyva Ternopil II
1 - 1
Uzhhorod
FCU
7%
12%
81%
13 48 35 +4
26 Apr. 2025
FKB
FC Kulikiv-Bilka
3 - 0
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
81%
12%
7%
14 26 12 -1
18 Apr. 2025
VIL
FC Vilkhivtsi
2 - 1
Nyva Ternopil II
NYV
35%
22%
43%
14 13 1 0