Nürnberg vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 1
DAR
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 2
FCN
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 0
EBT
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HSV
3 - 0
FCN
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
SVS
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
3 - 0
STU
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
HEI
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STU
0 - 1
WOL
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 1
STU
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
3%
9%
89%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |