Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FCN
2 - 3
ARB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
6 - 2
FCN
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCN
2 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FCN
1 - 1
S04
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
WAC
1 - 0
SGD
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
SGD
1 - 3
AAA
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 2
SGD
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SGD
0 - 2
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 0
SGD
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |