Nürnberg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
BAY
4 - 0
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
FCN
1 - 3
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
WWO
2 - 2
FCN
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
FCN
2 - 0
BAU
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 2
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 0
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
TEN
1 - 2
ROT
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
ROT
4 - 1
OSN
73%
15%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROT
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 0
KFC
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |