Nürnberg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
FCN
28%
25%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CLO
0 - 1
FCN
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BYM
0 - 0
FCN
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
COT
2 - 0
M05
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 0
M05
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 1
M05
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |