Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCN
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 3
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
WUR
1 - 1
FCN
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
FCN
0 - 2
STP
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
F95
1 - 1
WUR
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 0
F95
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
F95
1 - 3
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SGD
1 - 1
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
F95
2 - 2
FCU
27%
25%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |