Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BRE
3 - 2
FCN
69%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
FCN
0 - 0
EBT
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
KOL
5 - 2
FCN
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1983 |
FCN
3 - 2
S04
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 0
FCN
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
F95
3 - 1
S04
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1983 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
F95
2 - 1
KAI
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
KOL
4 - 0
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1983 |
HSV
2 - 0
F95
80%
12%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |