Nürnberg vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BVB
2 - 0
FCN
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 2
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 5
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 1
SLI
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AUG
0 - 2
HOF
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
AUG
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AUG
2 - 2
SCF
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 2
AUG
17%
23%
61%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
AUG
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |