Nürnberg vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
FCN
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
FCN
33%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
OFC
1 - 3
FCN
16%
25%
60%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
3 - 0
WAL
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
3 - 0
OFC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
WAL
4 - 0
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 0
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |