Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SGF
1 - 0
FCN
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
0 - 1
RTV
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
FCN
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 1
EBT
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HEI
2 - 3
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
EIN
1 - 0
ARB
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HAN
2 - 2
ARB
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCU
3 - 1
ARB
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |