Nürnberg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
MSV
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FSV
0 - 3
FCN
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCN
3 - 1
RBL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 4
FCN
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 0
HEI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 4
FCU
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
STP
0 - 0
FCU
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
FCU
3 - 1
EBT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |