Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MUN
2 - 2
FCN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 3
HSV
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
OFC
2 - 3
FCN
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
KOL
3 - 2
SGF
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2002 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCF
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
STP
2 - 3
KOL
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
KOL
1 - 1
REU
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
HOF
1 - 5
KOL
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |