Nörresundby FB vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
84.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nörresundby FB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 1
VIB
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AAB
3 - 1
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
VIB
18%
19%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
AAR
15%
19%
67%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DJU
0 - 2
NOR
37%
22%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 1
ROS
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AAF
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AAF
5 - 2
AKA
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
AAF
20%
23%
56%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 3
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |