Neftchi vs Kaganat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DBI
1 - 3
NEF
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 2
FKA
39%
25%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
KBA
0 - 6
NEF
10%
19%
70%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
NEF
4 - 1
NUB
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 1
KAG
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kaganat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 3
ALG
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 1
TAL
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
3 - 0
KAG
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
DBI
3 - 1
KAG
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 1
KAG
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |