FC Muri vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
58.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
16º
16º
32
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 0
FCM
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 0
MUN
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
6 - 3
FCM
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 3
RTK
26%
20%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WOH
1 - 1
FCM
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
CON
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 5
FCC
68%
17%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
THU
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
THU
4 - 0
MUN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 2
THU
42%
21%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |