FC Muri vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
YFJ
7 - 1
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 4
ESC
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MEN
1 - 1
FCM
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 2
FCM
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
4 - 4
RAP
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HON
1 - 1
LUG
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCG
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 4
STG
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |