Morobe Wawens vs Hekari United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morobe Wawens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
UHF
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
3 - 0
MAD
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PMS
1 - 1
FCM
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TOT
0 - 0
FCM
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 2
LAE
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Hekari United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HEK
1 - 0
PMS
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HEK
0 - 0
LAE
92%
6%
2%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRK
0 - 3
HEK
37%
21%
41%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UHF
1 - 4
HEK
8%
12%
80%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HEK
4 - 1
UHF
91%
6%
2%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |