Marmande 47 vs Lormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUR
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
4 - 0
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
LOR
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
3 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
SAG
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |