Liga Suiza Sub 15 Elite Ost Round 16

FC Luzern U15 vs FC Aarau U15 analysis

FC Luzern U15 FC Aarau U15
41 ELO 19
34.2% Tilt 24.8%
6651º General ELO ranking 10689º
89º Country ELO ranking 186º
ELO win probability
88.3%
FC Luzern U15
7.3%
Draw
4.4%
FC Aarau U15

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
FC Luzern U15
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4.4%
Win probability
FC Aarau U15
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Luzern U15
-8%
+150%
FC Aarau U15

ELO progression

FC Luzern U15
FC Aarau U15
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Luzern U15
FC Luzern U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
STG
FC St. Gallen U15
5 - 4
FC Luzern U15
LUZ
28%
19%
53%
41 33 8 0
26 Mar. 2025
FCZ
 FC Zürich U15
2 - 3
FC Luzern U15
LUZ
20%
17%
63%
41 27 14 0
15 Mar. 2025
LUZ
FC Luzern U15
5 - 4
 Winterthur U15
WIN
85%
9%
6%
41 23 18 0
08 Mar. 2025
ZOB
Zürich-Oberland U15
4 - 6
FC Luzern U15
LUZ
12%
14%
74%
40 16 24 +1
22 Feb. 2025
SOL
FC Solothurn U15
1 - 9
FC Luzern U15
LUZ
13%
15%
73%
39 19 20 +1

Matches

FC Aarau U15
FC Aarau U15
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
FCA
FC Aarau U15
1 - 3
 Winterthur U15
WIN
35%
20%
45%
20 24 4 0
29 Mar. 2025
ZOB
Zürich-Oberland U15
1 - 10
FC Aarau U15
FCA
31%
19%
49%
20 15 5 0
16 Mar. 2025
FCA
FC Aarau U15
5 - 3
FC Solothurn U15
SOL
58%
18%
24%
19 17 2 +1
08 Mar. 2025
CON
Concordia Basel U15
4 - 4
FC Aarau U15
FCA
28%
19%
53%
19 13 6 0
22 Feb. 2025
GCZ
Grasshopper Zürich U15
3 - 2
FC Aarau U15
FCA
82%
11%
7%
19 41 22 0