FC Luzern U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+227%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
6º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TMV
6 - 1
LUZ
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 5
FCZ
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WNT
0 - 4
LUZ
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 4
YNB
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NXA
2 - 2
LUZ
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
5 - 1
TTC
62%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCT
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 0
SFC
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +4 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
6 - 0
FCT
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 2
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |