AF Porto D.E. - Pro-nacional round 22

Lixa vs Perafita analysis

Lixa Perafita
19 ELO 18
-3.8% Tilt -6%
20038º General ELO ranking 20036º
381º Country ELO ranking 379º
ELO win probability
59.6%
Lixa
20.6%
Draw
19.8%
Perafita

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
Lixa
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.8%
Win probability
Perafita
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lixa
Perafita
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lixa
Lixa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
LIX
Lixa
1 - 0
Oliveira Douro
ODO
39%
24%
37%
18 22 4 0
25 Jan. 2015
GRI
Grijó
2 - 0
Lixa
LIX
60%
21%
20%
19 22 3 -1
18 Jan. 2015
LEC
Leça FC
3 - 4
Lixa
LIX
55%
22%
23%
18 19 1 +1
11 Jan. 2015
LIX
Lixa
1 - 3
Valadares Gaia
VAL
41%
23%
36%
19 21 2 -1
04 Jan. 2015
ALI
Aliados Lordelo
4 - 0
Lixa
LIX
54%
22%
23%
20 20 0 -1

Matches

Perafita
Perafita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
PER
Perafita
1 - 0
Aliança Gandra
GAN
52%
22%
26%
17 17 0 0
25 Jan. 2015
ODO
Oliveira Douro
3 - 1
Perafita
PER
65%
19%
16%
18 21 3 -1
18 Jan. 2015
PAD
Padroense
0 - 1
Perafita
PER
61%
20%
18%
17 19 2 +1
11 Jan. 2015
PER
Perafita
3 - 2
Grijó
GRI
26%
23%
51%
16 22 6 +1
04 Jan. 2015
PER
Perafita
2 - 2
Gens SC
GEN
53%
22%
25%
16 16 0 0