Austrian Bundesliga Round 1

FC Linz vs Sturm Graz analysis

FC Linz Sturm Graz
71 ELO 68
-6.6% Tilt -3.4%
28897º General ELO ranking 565º
429º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.9%
FC Linz
24.4%
Draw
20.7%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
FC Linz
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Linz
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Linz
FC Linz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 1978
LIN
FC Linz
2 - 1
43%
28%
29%
70 80 10 0
29 Apr. 1978
VIE
First Vienna
1 - 1
FC Linz
LIN
51%
25%
24%
70 65 5 0
22 Apr. 1978
LIN
FC Linz
4 - 0
Grazer AK
GRA
53%
25%
22%
69 68 1 +1
15 Apr. 1978
LAS
LASK
2 - 1
FC Linz
LIN
55%
24%
22%
69 66 3 0
07 Apr. 1978
LIN
FC Linz
1 - 1
Austria Wien
AUS
36%
27%
37%
69 81 12 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 1978
STR
Sturm Graz
3 - 0
First Vienna
VIE
60%
24%
16%
68 65 3 0
29 Apr. 1978
GRA
Grazer AK
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
50%
26%
24%
68 67 1 0
21 Apr. 1978
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
LASK
LAS
55%
24%
21%
68 67 1 0
16 Apr. 1978
AUS
Austria Wien
6 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
77%
15%
8%
68 81 13 0
07 Apr. 1978
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 0
59%
23%
17%
69 65 4 -1