Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
FC Koper vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
NKN
1 - 0
FCK
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FCK
4 - 3
GOR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
NKD
2 - 1
FCK
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
FCK
2 - 0
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
NKI
1 - 2
FCK
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
BES
4 - 2
VLZ
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
VLZ
0 - 3
DIN
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 0
VLZ
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
TIR
0 - 2
VLZ
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
VLZ
2 - 1
KFS
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |