Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-3
FC Koper vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 2
FCK
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 2
FCK
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FCK
4 - 0
FKC
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FKC
0 - 5
FCK
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FCK
3 - 1
RUD
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 2
FCK
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
SGD
2 - 1
FKN
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 0
FKN
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
DYN
2 - 2
FKN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FKN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |