Natters vs Union Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCK
4 - 1
VOL
71%
16%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCK
3 - 0
FCV
34%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 2
FCK
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FCK
2 - 4
SCM
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
KIR
2 - 0
FCK
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 5
SVZ
20%
19%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MOT
3 - 0
UNI
85%
10%
6%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 4
EBB
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 0
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VOL
2 - 3
UNI
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |