Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-3
Kobenhavn vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SON
1 - 3
FCK
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
JAB
0 - 1
FCK
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ESB
1 - 2
FCK
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 3
FCK
18%
24%
59%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 0
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
2 - 2
BOH
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
JAB
0 - 1
FCK
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 3
JAB
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
URA
0 - 1
JAB
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 3
JAB
8%
15%
77%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |