Kerzers vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LER
1 - 1
FCK
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
THU
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ESB
4 - 3
FCK
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 4
BUM
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 0
FCK
36%
25%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BER
5 - 2
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TPA
4 - 4
BER
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BER
3 - 1
LYS
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FCK
2 - 1
BER
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LER
2 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |