Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-2
FC Kärnten vs Grindavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kärnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 1
SWB
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
MAT
0 - 0
FCK
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
STR
0 - 0
FCK
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
FCK
2 - 1
AUS
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
AUS
3 - 0
FCK
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Grindavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
IBV
1 - 0
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2003 |
FRA
2 - 0
GRI
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
GRI
1 - 1
FYL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
IAA
1 - 0
GRI
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRI
40%
25%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |