Q. Europa League Ronda previa. Final
Global 1-9
FC Kapaz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUS
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
AUS
4 - 0
VOR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
AUS
1 - 2
ADM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
STR
6 - 0
AUS
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
AUS
0 - 1
RBS
54%
25%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |